As has been said many times on this forum parents first and foremost will do what works best for them without giving us a second thought. We need to do the same. This is a business and as such we need to keep it viable. If that means that you need to make changes then you do. The family with the child currently in care has been there longer and as such you are making changes to continue to accommodate a long term family.
Give the PT mom a heads up maybe a month before the changes will be made.
On the other hand you could consider January notice for the family that may leave if it suits them realizing the child will be gone on short notice when they do go and are likely to argue the paid notice clause since daycare doesn't wait and expects child to start now with payment so they would be paying double. Again a case of no loyalty to provider just a family doing what suits them and leaving when they want.
That would give the space to "Alice" anyways with the other family having to drop to whatever is left over if they don't leave for the daycare centre. They may not know till beginning of Jan if they have a space. How many days a week does "Alice" come now? IF it is 3 or more then you might do better off keeping her and the two for sure FT and letting the one that might leave know that you will be terminating the end of December because you can't take the risk they won't be back in Jan and need to fill the space. That then becomes the space that goes to the new baby coming into care and sibling keeps her space.
Yes you have a space dilemma but there are several different scenerios to consider and which one works out best for you giving you the ages, days, income you need to be comfortable.

































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