This new family is going to think you screwed them up anyway. You are going to feel like ass anyway. So whatever you decide, these fact stay the same.I would feel like an ass either way.
Since first family has been transparent they they hope to find place in his old daycare, they will take that as soon as it available. It might be on 4th, it might be when you on vacation. It might be in September, it might be later. But, they will leave as soon as place opens up for them. I think we all understand that they have to do what they have to do, and if space become available after he begin care with you, they will leave for the long term option.
These are all knowns. Real fact. Not in your control.
With all these fact, if other family want spot, it would be in your interest to take them. They know full situation. If, and it is still if, they want spot, they going into that eye wide open.
You can't change this situation to come out smelling of roses with unicorns farting rainbow. There no way to get that outcome with both families.
Since you can't make the situation better for everyone, you have to go with best option.
The best option depend on what you mean by best.
Best to feel less guilty = Take family you know will leave first chance and understand that might be only short while leaving you back to beginning with empty place that be hard to fill on short term basis before closing.
Best Business Option = Take family who know you pregnant if they want the space because it most likely this one will stay longer than other family hoping to get their old spot back with other daycare.
If you have choice, why even consider the family waiting for spot elsewhere? Just to make yourself feel like less of ass? Can you take that feeling to bank and pay mortgage with it? I don't think you can. My bank likes cold hard cash. Since whole dilemma is your need to keep income as long as possible, there really only one option if both families want your spot.

































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